$1,356,482 NSF CriticalMinerals&Materials

About $1.36M to Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution — machine learning over sediment metal and fish fossil data to predict where deep-sea rare earths concentrate

Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Massachusetts Started Sep 2026

An award applying machine learning to predict the distribution of rare earth elements in deep-sea sediment. The inputs are sediment metal data and fish fossil data, aimed at revealing when, where and how rare earths become enriched. The recipient is an independent oceanographic institution.

Grant overview (primary data)

  • Award amount$1,356,482
  • RecipientWoods Hole Oceanographic Institution (Massachusetts)
  • ProgramNSF CriticalMinerals&Materials
  • Period2026-09-01 〜 2029-08-31
  • FunderU.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) / NSF

Key points

  • Applies machine learning to predict the distribution of rare earth elements in deep-sea sediment.
  • The inputs are sediment metal data and fish fossil data, aimed at when, where and how enrichment occurs.
  • The abstract notes that traditional sampling methods are inefficient for mapping spatial variability.
  • The recipient is an independent oceanographic institution; only three of the 120 awards this site holds as of 2026-09-01 fall in that category.
  • The obligated amount of about $1,356,482 matches the estimated total, over a three-year period from 2026-09-01 to 2029-08-31.
  • Sampling by ship maps spatial variability poorly, so the work infers unsampled locations from points already collected.

1Fish fossils are among the inputs

Two materials go into the machine learning here: data on metals in the sediment, and data on fish fossils. Why fish fossils, for predicting where rare earths lie.

The abstract does not set out the mechanism in detail, saying that combining the two will reveal when, where and how rare earths become enriched in sediment. As records of what settled on the sea floor, metals and fossils lie in the same layers. The reading is that what neither shows alone can appear when they are set side by side.

2Prediction fills in where sampling cannot reach

Studying deep-sea sediment means putting a ship out and taking samples. The abstract notes that traditional methods are inefficient for mapping spatial variability. The ocean is wide and the points that can be sampled are few.

That is where prediction comes in: rather than sampling everywhere, infer the unsampled places from the points already taken. Deep-sea mining is also a field where argument over environmental impact continues, and that argument struggles to advance while what lies where remains unknown.

3The recipient is an independent oceanographic institution

Among the 120 NSF awards this site holds as of 2026-09-01, recipients break down as 104 universities and the like, 13 companies and three independent research institutes. This award is one of those three.

Those 120 awards are spread across 93 institutions, and only 19 hold more than one. Most institutions hold a single award. The obligated amount of about $1,356,482 matches the estimated total; among the 120 awards this site holds as of 2026-09-01, 86 match in that way and this is one of them. The period runs three years, from 2026-09-01 to 2029-08-31.

4Sample it, or infer it

Studying deep-sea sediment means putting a ship to sea and collecting it. The abstract notes that conventional approaches are inefficient for mapping spatial variability. The ocean is wide and the points that can be sampled are few.

Sampling and measuringInferring from points already sampled
Certain about the places measuredReaches places never measured
The cost and time of a voyage become the constraintExisting data is used to the full
Poorly suited to mapping spatial variabilityCan indicate where to sample next

That the machine learning takes two inputs bears on the same design: metal data in the sediment, and fish fossil data. As records of what settled to the sea floor, metals and fossils remain in the same layers. What one alone cannot say may be readable when the two are set side by side — the mechanism goes undescribed in the abstract, but that intention is stated plainly.

Why it matters

Exploration for resources is bounded by how much can be sampled and at what cost. Inferring unsampled locations from those already taken is material for deciding the order of exploration. Deep-sea mining being a contested field on environmental grounds, knowing the distribution also sets the terms for that argument.

FAQ

Why use fish fossils?
The abstract does not detail the mechanism, saying that combining them with sediment metal data will reveal when, where and how enrichment occurs.
Why do rare earths matter?
The abstract describes them as essential to modern technology, United States economic competitiveness and national security.
Does mining begin?
This award covers research on predicting distribution. Mining itself is not addressed in the record.

Sources (primary)

Source: NSF Award Search (U.S. National Science Foundation, public domain). Amounts are the obligated amount. For privacy, we do not handle principal investigator names.

#AI#NSF#Research grants#Ocean#Rare earths
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