U.S. BEA Monthly Index 2017=100 PCEPILFE

Core PCE price index (Fed's gauge)

YoY
+3.0% ▲
Index 130.5 (prev 130.1)
2026-08-01 as of ・Index 2017=100
Next scheduled release:Thu, Oct 29, 2026(Personal Income and Outlays)

The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index excluding food and energy. The inflation gauge the Federal Reserve emphasizes most for its 2% target.

Key points

  • The Fed's preferred inflation gauge for its 2% target
  • Based on PCE; tends to run lower than CPI
  • Most important for the direction of monetary policy

How to read it

The Fed's 2% target (YoY) is defined on core PCE. It differs from CPI in scope and method and tends to run a bit lower. The most important inflation gauge for reading the Fed's rate path.

Trend

96.41061151241332026-08-01:1301302016-10-012020-01-012023-04-012026-08-01

Year by year

Shows the year-over-year change (%) from 2017-10 to 2026-08, grouped by calendar year.

Latest+3.0%2026-08-01
Period high+5.6%Sep 2022
Period low+1.0%Jun 2020
YearAverageYear-endHighLow
2026 (months 1–8) +3.0% +3.0% +3.2% +2.9%
2025 +2.8% +2.9% +2.9% +2.6%
2024 +2.9% +2.9% +3.2% +2.8%
2023 +4.2% +3.2% +5.0% +3.2%
2022 +5.4% +5.1% +5.6% +5.1%
2021 +3.5% +5.1% +5.1% +1.6%
2020 +1.4% +1.5% +1.7% +1.0%
2019 +1.6% +1.5% +1.8% +1.5%
2018 +1.9% +2.0% +2.0% +1.6%
2017 (months 10–12) +1.6% +1.6% +1.6% +1.5%

Recent trend

PeriodValueChange
2026-08-01 130.46 +0.32
2026-07-01 130.13 +0.16
2026-06-01 129.97 +0.17
2026-05-01 129.8 +0.4
2026-04-01 129.4 +0.37
2026-03-01 129.03 +0.33
2026-02-01 128.7 +0.43
2026-01-01 128.27 +0.51
2025-12-01 127.77 +0.4
2025-11-01 127.36 +0.2
2025-10-01 127.17 +0.23
2025-09-01 126.94 +0.29

FAQ

Core PCE price index (Fed's gauge): what is the latest reading?
As of Aug 2026, it is +3.0% (year over year). Since Oct 2017, the high was +5.6% (Sep 2022) and the low was +1.0% (Jun 2020). The next release is scheduled for Thu, Oct 29, 2026.
How is it different from CPI?
It differs in scope and methodology. The Fed targets core PCE, which tends to run a bit lower than CPI.
Why does the Fed prefer it?
PCE covers consumption more broadly and adapts to shifts in what people buy, so the Fed uses it for its 2% target.

Sources (primary)

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