U.S. BEA
Quarterly
A191RL1Q225SBEA
Real GDP growth (annualized)
Annualized (SAAR)
+1.6%
▲
Prev qtr +0.5%
2026-01-01 as of
How fast real (inflation-adjusted) GDP grew from the prior quarter, expressed at an annual rate. The most basic measure of the U.S. economy's growth pace.
Key points
- Real GDP quarter-over-quarter growth, annualized (SAAR)
- Positive = expansion, negative = contraction
- Revised across advance/second/third estimates
How to read it
Annualized (SAAR) means the rate if that quarter's pace continued for a year. Positive = expansion, negative = contraction. Two negative quarters is one rule of thumb for recession. Figures get revised (advance → second → third).
Recent trend
| Period | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | 1.6 | +1.1 |
| 2025-10-01 | 0.5 | -3.9 |
| 2025-07-01 | 4.4 | +0.6 |
| 2025-04-01 | 3.8 | +4.4 |
| 2025-01-01 | -0.6 | -2.5 |
| 2024-10-01 | 1.9 | -1.4 |
| 2024-07-01 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 2024-04-01 | 3.6 | +2.8 |
| 2024-01-01 | 0.8 | -2.6 |
| 2023-10-01 | 3.4 | -1.3 |
| 2023-07-01 | 4.7 | +2.2 |
| 2023-04-01 | 2.5 | -0.4 |
FAQ
What does "annualized" mean?
The growth rate if that quarter's pace continued for a full year (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR).
What signals a recession?
Two consecutive negative quarters is a common rule of thumb, but the official call is made separately and holistically.
Sources (primary)
This article is an independent summary based on the official U.S. data below. Please verify the latest and exact details with the official sources.
- FRED (series page)：A191RL1Q225SBEA
- Source agency：U.S. BEA
- FRED last updated：2026-05-28 07:49:55-05
FRED® is a registered trademark of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. This site is not endorsed or certified by FRED / the St. Louis Fed.